Faculty profile

Paul Gustafson

ResearcherStatisticsUniversity of British Columbia

This profile is built from public research funding records (CIHR, NSERC and SSHRC) and PubMed. We have not imported them from a University of British Columbia directory, so their courses and email address may be missing. Find their university profile.

Paul Gustafson

Researcher

Statistics

Natural Sciences

University of British Columbia

Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada

Supervision signals

Has led research grants, which requires an independent research appointment. Ask their department whether they supervise graduate students.
40 publications in the last five years, latest in 2026.
Senior (last) author on 8 recent papers, a sign of leading a research group.
Principal investigator on 9 research grants (7 NSERC, 2 CIHR), most recently in 2025.
Supervisor on 1 trainee award (1 CIHR), most recently in 2021.

These signals come from public records, including CIHR, NSERC and SSHRC funding decisions. Ask the professor or the graduate program whether they are taking new students.

Academic metrics

116

Publications

Citations

Collaborators

Grants

Publications by year

Counts cover the publications linked to this profile. Citations and the h-index appear when the source records them.

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Signals and details

Research

Bayesian methods Causal inference Evidence synthesis Measurement error Misclassification Partial identification

Latest papers

Timing of Initiation of Methadone Take-Home Dosing.
JAMA internal medicine · 2026
Evaluating Estimators in Partially Identified Models.
Epidemiology (Cambridge, Mass.) · 2026 · senior author
Methods for Adjusting for Covariate Measurement Error in Flexible Modeling of Functional Form: Designing a Blinded, Controlled Neutral Comparison Simulation Study.
Biometrical journal. Biometrische Zeitschrift · 2026

All 116 publications

Latest funding

COMPOSE-Canada (COMPositional Outcomes & Simulation for Equity): Evaluating the Health, Healthcare, and Equity Impacts of Ultra-Processed Foods Through Compositional Causal Inference and Child-First Lifecourse Microsimulation.
CIHR · 2026 · Co-investigator
$10,000
Assessing Zika virus infection during pregnancy and adverse fetal, infant, and child outcomes: The Zika virus (ZIKV) Individual Participant Data (IPD) Meta-analyses (MA) Phase II and the analysis of surveillance-based IPD data. (ZIKV-IPD-MA-2S)
CIHR · 2025 · Principal investigator
$933,300
Advancing precision stroke prevention through real-world adherence science
CIHR · 2025 · Co-investigator
$306,001

All 24 grants and awards

116 publications.

Timing of Initiation of Methadone Take-Home Dosing.

Hossain MB, Min JE, Kurz M, Seaman S, Bach P, Karim ME, Bruneau J, Socias ME, Gustafson P, Platt R, Greenland S, Nosyk B

JAMA internal medicine2026

DOI: 10.1001/jamainternmed.2026.3904 PMID: 42709433

Evaluating Estimators in Partially Identified Models.

MacLehose RF, Lash TL, Collin LJ, Ahern TP, Gustafson P

Epidemiology (Cambridge, Mass.)2026Senior author

DOI: 10.1097/ede.0000000000002014 PMID: 42257248

Methods for Adjusting for Covariate Measurement Error in Flexible Modeling of Functional Form: Designing a Blinded, Controlled Neutral Comparison Simulation Study.

Thiébaut ACM, Perperoglou A, Sedki M, Ferreira Guerra S, Gustafson P, Harrell FE, Sauerbrei W, Abrahamowicz M, Freedman LS, Selection of Variables and Functional Forms in Multivariable Analysis Topic Group (TG2) and Measurement Error and Misclassification Topic Group (TG4) of the international STRengthening Analytical Thinking for Observational Studies (STRATOS) initiative

Biometrical journal. Biometrische Zeitschrift2026

DOI: 10.1002/bimj.70155 PMID: 42596529

Comparative effectiveness of alternative times to opioid agonist treatment taper initiation on taper completion and all-cause mortality among people with opioid use disorder: A retrospective population-based target trial emulation study in British Columbia, Canada, 2010-2020.

Yan R, Min JE, Kurz M, Seaman SR, Bach P, Greenland S, Gustafson P, Karim ME, McCandless L, Platt RW, Siebert U, Socías ME, Xie H, Nosyk B

Addiction (Abingdon, England)2026

DOI: 10.1111/add.70489 PMID: 42227316

Prediction of exposure to chrysotile asbestos fibers among Quebec miners and millers based on impinger measurements.

Burstyn I, Gustafson P, Reiss B

Annals of work exposures and health2026

DOI: 10.1093/annweh/wxag036 PMID: 42166758

Expected Value of Sample Information Calculations for Risk Prediction Model Development.

Safari A, Gustafson P, Sadatsafavi M

Statistics in medicine2026

DOI: 10.1002/sim.70484 PMID: 41974569

Five misconceptions about categorizing exposure variables measured with error in epidemiological research.

Thiébaut ACM, Boshuizen HC, Midthune D, Wallace MP, Kipnis V, Gustafson P, Of The International STRengthening Analytical Thinking For Observational Studies Stratos Initiative OBOMEAMTGT

American journal of epidemiology2026

DOI: 10.1093/aje/kwag071 PMID: 41910046

Evaluating treatment benefit predictors using observational data: contending with identification and confounding bias.

Xia Y, Sadatsafavi M, Gustafson P

American journal of epidemiology2026Senior author

DOI: 10.1093/aje/kwaf239 PMID: 41131891

Bayesian Sample Size Calculations for External Validation Studies of Risk Prediction Models.

Sadatsafavi M, Gustafson P, Setayeshgar S, Wynants L, D Riley R

Statistics in medicine2026

DOI: 10.1002/sim.70389 PMID: 41673915

How to conduct an individual participant data meta-analysis in response to an emerging pathogen: Lessons learned from Zika and COVID-19.

Maxwell L, Shreedhar P, Merson L, Levis B, Debray TPA, de Jong VMT, Ximenes RAA, Jaenisch T, Gustafson P, Carabali M

Research synthesis methods2026

DOI: 10.1017/rsm.2025.10029 PMID: 41626890

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Paul Gustafson

Research

Latest papers

Latest funding

Timing of Initiation of Methadone Take-Home Dosing.

Evaluating Estimators in Partially Identified Models.

Methods for Adjusting for Covariate Measurement Error in Flexible Modeling of Functional Form: Designing a Blinded, Controlled Neutral Comparison Simulation Study.

Comparative effectiveness of alternative times to opioid agonist treatment taper initiation on taper completion and all-cause mortality among people with opioid use disorder: A retrospective population-based target trial emulation study in British Columbia, Canada, 2010-2020.

Prediction of exposure to chrysotile asbestos fibers among Quebec miners and millers based on impinger measurements.

Expected Value of Sample Information Calculations for Risk Prediction Model Development.

Five misconceptions about categorizing exposure variables measured with error in epidemiological research.

Evaluating treatment benefit predictors using observational data: contending with identification and confounding bias.

Bayesian Sample Size Calculations for External Validation Studies of Risk Prediction Models.

How to conduct an individual participant data meta-analysis in response to an emerging pathogen: Lessons learned from Zika and COVID-19.

COMPOSE-Canada (COMPositional Outcomes & Simulation for Equity): Evaluating the Health, Healthcare, and Equity Impacts of Ultra-Processed Foods Through Compositional Causal Inference and Child-First Lifecourse Microsimulation.

Assessing Zika virus infection during pregnancy and adverse fetal, infant, and child outcomes: The Zika virus (ZIKV) Individual Participant Data (IPD) Meta-analyses (MA) Phase II and the analysis of surveillance-based IPD data. (ZIKV-IPD-MA-2S)

Advancing precision stroke prevention through real-world adherence science

A Cross-Country Study: Investigating Inequalities in Adolescent Learning and Well-Being during COVID-19 and Mitigating Factors

Assessing Zika virus infection during pregnancy and adverse fetal, infant, and child outcomes: The Zika virus (ZIKV) Individual Participant Data (IPD) Meta-analyses (MA) Phase II and the analysis of surveillance-based IPD data. (ZIKV-IPD-MA-2S)

A Bayesian evidence synthesis approach to an adaptable model for estimating the number of overdose events in a population over a given calendar period of time

IMplementing Predictive Analytics towards efficient COPD Treatments (IMPACT)

Statistical Methods for Managing Emerging Infectious Diseases

Modelling the Impact of Government-Led Nutrient Profile Models on Preventable Mortality and Morbidity Burden, and Healthcare Use: A POpulation HEalth Model-Nutrition (POHEM-Nutrition) Microsimulation Study

Bayesian Evidence Synthesis: Exploring the Limits of Limited data

Frequent collaborators

Bohdan Nosyk

Paxton Bach

Mohsen Sadatsafavi

Helen Tremlett

Mark Gilbert

Julie Bruneau

Michael Brauer

Lawrence McCandless

Evan Wood

Juxin Liu

Martino Tran

Kevin Schnepel

Gina Ogilvie

Jason Wong

Hubert Wong

Mel Krajden

Karen Yeates

Salim Yusuf

Thomas Loughin

HUI XIE

Charity Evans

Hitoshi Shigeoka

Mabel Carabali