Amy Hurford, Memorial University of Newfoundland

Research

Disease ecology Infectious disease Host-pathogen Mathematical biology Mathematical modelling Population biology Temperature in population models epidemiological modelling

Latest papers

Quantifying SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant spread and the impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions in Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada
PLoS Computational Biology · 2026 · senior author
Joint economic and epidemiological modelling of alternative pandemic response strategies.
Journal of the Royal Society, Interface · 2026
Effect of Climate Warming on Culex Mosquito Population Dynamics in Newfoundland.
Bulletin of mathematical biology · 2026 · senior author

All 21 publications

Latest funding

Enhanced tracking of the circulation of and risk from highly pathogenic avian influenza viruses at the human-wildlife interface
CIHR · 2024 · Co-investigator
Advancing infectious disease modelling frameworks to consider regional differences
NSERC · 2024 · Principal investigator
$72,000
Incorporating movement, seasonality, and climate change into infectious disease models
NSERC · 2023 · Principal investigator
$88,000

All 9 grants and awards

21 publications.

01

Quantifying SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant spread and the impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions in Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada

Anokye F, Li MWZ, Walker S, Hurford A

PLoS Computational Biology2026Senior author

DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1013562

02

Joint economic and epidemiological modelling of alternative pandemic response strategies.

Plank MJ, Sushames M, Fisher-Taylor T, Afshari A, Thompson RN, Hurford A, Hendy S

Journal of the Royal Society, Interface2026

DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2026.0098 PMID: 42613044

03

Effect of Climate Warming on Culex Mosquito Population Dynamics in Newfoundland.

Baafi J, Hurford A

Bulletin of mathematical biology2026Senior author

DOI: 10.1007/s11538-026-01756-7 PMID: 42776354

04

Changing contact patterns in Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada in response to public health measures during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Doig R, Hurford A, Spurrell S, Morrissey A, Wang L, Colijn C

Epidemics2026

DOI: 10.1016/j.epidem.2026.100892 PMID: 41637914

05

Whole-Colony Dynamic Energy Budget Model for Bumble Bees: Assessing the Impact of Wildflower Patches on Crop Pollination.

Capera-Aragones P, Mariño J, Hurford A, Tyson RC, Foxall E

Bulletin of mathematical biology2025

DOI: 10.1007/s11538-025-01448-8 PMID: 40397171

06

Importation models for travel-related SARS-CoV-2 cases reported in Newfoundland and Labrador during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Mohammadi Z, Cojocaru MG, Arino J, Hurford A

Royal Society open science2025Senior author

DOI: 10.1098/rsos.241902 PMID: 41307065

07

Modeling the Impact of Seasonality on Mosquito Population Dynamics: Insights for Vector Control Strategies.

Baafi J, Hurford A

Bulletin of mathematical biology2025Senior author

DOI: 10.1007/s11538-024-01409-7 PMID: 39847171

08

Mathematical modelling for pandemic preparedness in Canada: Learning from COVID-19

Ogden NH, Acheson ES, Brown K, Champredon D, Colijn C, Diener A, Dushoff J, Earn DJ, Gabriele-Rivet V, Gangbè M

Canada Communicable Disease Report202413 citations

DOI: 10.14745/ccdr.v50i10a03

09

Canada’s provincial COVID-19 pandemic modelling efforts: A review of mathematical models and their impacts on the responses

Xia Y, Flores Anato JL, Colijn C, Janjua N, Irvine M, Williamson T, Varughese MB, Li M, Osgood N, Earn DJD

Canadian Journal of Public Health20246 citations

DOI: 10.17269/s41997-024-00910-9

10

Is SARS-CoV-2 elimination or mitigation best? Regional and disease characteristics determine the recommended strategy.

Martignoni MM, Arino J, Hurford A

Royal Society open science2024Senior author

DOI: 10.1098/rsos.240186 PMID: 39100176

Enhanced tracking of the circulation of and risk from highly pathogenic avian influenza viruses at the human-wildlife interface

Co-investigatorCIHR2024Catalyst Grant: Avian Influenza OneHealth Research

Principal investigators: Lang, Andrew S

Keywords: Atlantic Canada; Birds; Hunter/Harvester; Immunity; Mammals; Northern Canada; Viral Evolution; Viral Transmission; Zoonosis

Advancing infectious disease modelling frameworks to consider regional differences

Principal investigatorNSERC2024Alliance Grants

Principal investigators: Hurford, Amy AL

Keywords: disease ecology; epidemiological modelling; infectious disease; mathematical ecology; one health

$72,000

Incorporating movement, seasonality, and climate change into infectious disease models

Principal investigatorNSERC2023Discovery Grants Program - Individual

Principal investigators: Hurford, Amy

Keywords: population biology; mathematical modelling; disease ecology; infectious disease; host-pathogen; temperature in population models; mathematical biology

$88,000

Mathematical mobilization of vaccine development

Co-investigatorSSHRC2021New Frontiers in Research Fund - Exploration

Principal investigators: Heffernan, Jane

Keywords: mathematical immunology mathematical biology vaccine development adaptive immunity immune response vaccine adjuvants sensitivity analysis in-vitro and in-vivo machine learning

$250,000

One Health Modelling Network for Emerging Infections (OMNI)

Co-investigatorNSERC2020Emerging Infectious Diseases Modelling Initiative (EIDM)

Principal investigators: Zhu, Huaiping

$2,500,000

CANMOD: Canadian Network for Modelling Infectious Disease

Co-investigatorNSERC2020Emerging Infectious Diseases Modelling Initiative (EIDM)

Principal investigators: Colijn, Caroline

$2,500,000

Mathematics for Public Health (MfPH)

Co-investigatorNSERC2020Emerging Infectious Diseases Modelling Initiative (EIDM)

Principal investigators: Murty, Vijayakumar

$3,000,000

Mechanistic models of host movement to understand disease dynamics in variable environments

Principal investigatorNSERC2014Discovery Grants Program - Individual

Principal investigators: Hurford, Amy

$234,000

Development of an Antimicrobial Resistance Diversity Index (ARDI) to guide initiatives and investment in public health, antimicrobial stewardship and infection control

Co-investigatorCIHR2012Collaborative Health Research Projects (NSERC partnered)

Principal investigators: Wu, Jianhong; Morris, Andrew M

Keywords: Antimicrobial Resistance; Human Health 1101; Infectious Disease; Mathematical Biology And Physiology 2957; Mathematical Modelling 2960; Medical And Health Sciences 1211

$199,341

From CIHR, NSERC and SSHRC funding decisions: CIHR since 2008, NSERC since 1991 and SSHRC since 1998, including their latest published competition results.

Frequent collaborators

Jonathan Dushoff and David Earn: 42 shared papers
Jonathan Dushoff and David Champredon: 24 shared papers
Jonathan Dushoff and Michael Li: 23 shared papers
Sharmistha Mishra and Mathieu Maheu-Giroux: 22 shared papers
Sharmistha Mishra and Beate Sander: 19 shared papers
David Earn and Michael Li: 15 shared papers
David Champredon and Michael Li: 11 shared papers
David Earn and David Champredon: 10 shared papers
Jianhong Wu and Julien Arino: 9 shared papers
David Earn and Caroline Colijn: 8 shared papers
David Earn and Irena Papst: 6 shared papers
James Watmough and Julien Arino: 6 shared papers
Irena Papst and David Champredon: 5 shared papers
David Buckeridge and Sharmistha Mishra: 5 shared papers
Naveed Janjua and Beate Sander: 5 shared papers
Caroline Colijn and Liangliang Wang: 5 shared papers
Jonathan Dushoff and Irena Papst: 4 shared papers
Jonathan Dushoff and Caroline Colijn: 4 shared papers
Jianhong Wu and Beate Sander: 3 shared papers
Jianhong Wu and Amy Hurford: 3 shared papers
Beate Sander and Mathieu Maheu-Giroux: 3 shared papers
Caroline Colijn and Amy Hurford: 3 shared papers
Julien Arino and Amy Hurford: 3 shared papers
Jonathan Dushoff and Ashleigh Tuite: 2 shared papers
David Earn and Nathaniel Osgood: 2 shared papers
David Earn and Amy Hurford: 2 shared papers
David Champredon and Ashleigh Tuite: 2 shared papers
Michael Li and Amy Hurford: 2 shared papers
Jianhong Wu and Kunquan Lan: 2 shared papers
Andrew Morris and Bryan Coburn: 2 shared papers
Sharmistha Mishra and Naveed Janjua: 2 shared papers
Naveed Janjua and Mathieu Maheu-Giroux: 2 shared papers
Jonathan Dushoff and Michael Wolfson: 1 shared paper
Jonathan Dushoff and Amy Hurford: 1 shared paper
David Earn and David Buckeridge: 1 shared paper
David Earn and Michael Wolfson: 1 shared paper
David Earn and Ashleigh Tuite: 1 shared paper
David Earn and Michael Li: 1 shared paper
David Earn and Kumar Murty: 1 shared paper
Irena Papst and Michael Wolfson: 1 shared paper
Irena Papst and Amy Hurford: 1 shared paper
David Champredon and Amy Hurford: 1 shared paper
Jianhong Wu and Andrew Morris: 1 shared paper
Jianhong Wu and Bryan Coburn: 1 shared paper
Jianhong Wu and Kumar Murty: 1 shared paper
Andrew Morris and Amy Hurford: 1 shared paper
Andrew Morris and Kunquan Lan: 1 shared paper
David Buckeridge and Naveed Janjua: 1 shared paper
David Buckeridge and Nathaniel Osgood: 1 shared paper
David Buckeridge and Amy Hurford: 1 shared paper
David Buckeridge and Michael Li: 1 shared paper
David Buckeridge and Kumar Murty: 1 shared paper
Sharmistha Mishra and Nathaniel Osgood: 1 shared paper
Sharmistha Mishra and Amy Hurford: 1 shared paper
Sharmistha Mishra and Michael Li: 1 shared paper
Naveed Janjua and Amy Hurford: 1 shared paper
Michael Wolfson and Amy Hurford: 1 shared paper
Bryan Coburn and Amy Hurford: 1 shared paper
Bryan Coburn and Kunquan Lan: 1 shared paper
Beate Sander and James Watmough: 1 shared paper
Beate Sander and Amy Hurford: 1 shared paper
Mathieu Maheu-Giroux and Amy Hurford: 1 shared paper
Nathaniel Osgood and Amy Hurford: 1 shared paper
Ashleigh Tuite and Amy Hurford: 1 shared paper
James Watmough and Amy Hurford: 1 shared paper
Amy Hurford and Michael Li: 1 shared paper
Amy Hurford and Liangliang Wang: 1 shared paper
Amy Hurford and Eric Foxall: 1 shared paper
Amy Hurford and Kunquan Lan: 1 shared paper
Amy Hurford and Kumar Murty: 1 shared paper

Mathematics and Statistics
Biology
Epidemiology Division
Head Office
Mathematics
Pediatrics
Cell and Systems Biology
Other

1 shared papers, latest 2024

Write to this professor

A short, specific email works best. This draft uses one of their recent papers; replace the parts in brackets with your own details before sending.

Applying for

Paper to mentionMention their NSERC grant from 2024

Subject: Prospective PhD student: Disease ecology Dear Professor Hurford, My name is [your name], and I am a [your current degree or role] at [your institution]. I am applying for a PhD position starting in [term and year]. I read your paper "Quantifying SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant spread and the impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions in Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada" (2026), and it connects closely to my own work on [your research topic]. [One or two sentences on what you did and what you learned.] I also saw your NSERC-funded project "Advancing infectious disease modelling frameworks to consider regional differences" (2024), and I would be glad to contribute to work in that direction. Are you accepting new PhD students for [term and year]? I have attached my CV and transcripts, and I would be glad to talk at a time that suits you. Thank you for your time. Kind regards, [your name]

Amy Hurford

Research

Latest papers

Latest funding

Quantifying SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant spread and the impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions in Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada

Joint economic and epidemiological modelling of alternative pandemic response strategies.

Effect of Climate Warming on Culex Mosquito Population Dynamics in Newfoundland.

Changing contact patterns in Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada in response to public health measures during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Whole-Colony Dynamic Energy Budget Model for Bumble Bees: Assessing the Impact of Wildflower Patches on Crop Pollination.

Importation models for travel-related SARS-CoV-2 cases reported in Newfoundland and Labrador during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Modeling the Impact of Seasonality on Mosquito Population Dynamics: Insights for Vector Control Strategies.

Mathematical modelling for pandemic preparedness in Canada: Learning from COVID-19

Canada’s provincial COVID-19 pandemic modelling efforts: A review of mathematical models and their impacts on the responses

Is SARS-CoV-2 elimination or mitigation best? Regional and disease characteristics determine the recommended strategy.

Enhanced tracking of the circulation of and risk from highly pathogenic avian influenza viruses at the human-wildlife interface

Advancing infectious disease modelling frameworks to consider regional differences

Incorporating movement, seasonality, and climate change into infectious disease models

Mathematical mobilization of vaccine development

One Health Modelling Network for Emerging Infections (OMNI)

CANMOD: Canadian Network for Modelling Infectious Disease

Mathematics for Public Health (MfPH)

Mechanistic models of host movement to understand disease dynamics in variable environments

Development of an Antimicrobial Resistance Diversity Index (ARDI) to guide initiatives and investment in public health, antimicrobial stewardship and infection control

Frequent collaborators

Caroline Colijn

Jianhong Wu

Julien Arino

David Earn

Michael Li

Troy Day

Kumar Murty

Kunquan Lan

Liangliang Wang

Michael Li

Eric Foxall

Sharmistha Mishra

Naveed Janjua

Jonathan Dushoff

Michael Wolfson

Bryan Coburn

Beate Sander

Mathieu Maheu-Giroux

Nathaniel Osgood

Ashleigh Tuite

James Watmough

Tyler Williamson

Irena Papst

David Champredon

Andrew Morris

David Buckeridge